MAY 5, 2020 COVID: WHY STAY CLOSED

There are many states that are going to start easing up on ‘ shut down’ or quarantine. On many levels I can see why the population at large wants this. It has been quite an ordeal for some individuals. There is a bigger economic or financial incentive. I know there is a need to make an income. I personally understand as I still have to pay a New York City rent as well as a mortgage. I have no income from closing my medical practices

For those that are protesting for the above reasons—let me tell you why we should NOT ease precautions.

The US death toll has exceeded 70.000. This is higher than the high end estimate of deaths from the flu since October. This pandemic has killed patients much faster than the flu in just three months. The complications from corona virus are far worse than we have seen from the flu. The new numbers now show death toll could hit 134,000 by August. I still feel it will go much higher than that. You know that vaccine is ,much further away than the government is saying. The model for New York is stating that an additional 7800 people are not expected to die. The only model that makes sense is Governor Cuomo 4 stage plan. That might even have to curtailed depending on the spikes in deaths.

Research has shown that person with the flu infected about 1.28 other people whereas corona infects an average of 2-3 other people.

We do not know what the summer will bring . I believe this winter there will be mixture of flu and corona causing more deaths than any other year.

As a physician who has seen people get intubated on a ventilator it is very distressing and depressing.. There is a 87 % - 91 % mortality for those patients placed on a ventilator

Until tomorrow…